If you’re at all interested in betting, you’ve probably wondered how bookies come up with their odds. How do they know which teams are likely to win and by how much? In this article, we’ll explain the basics of how bookmakers set odds, as well as some tips on how to beat them!
What Are The Rules When Bookies Set Odds
The first thing to understand is that bookies are businesses. They want to make money, and they do this by setting odds in their favor. This means that the odds you see are not always an accurate reflection of who is actually going to win. Instead, they’re a reflection of what the bookie thinks people will bet on.
This is why you’ll sometimes see two teams with very different odds even though they seem like they should be about even. It all comes down to how much money the bookie thinks they can make on each team.
The other thing to understand is that bookies are not always right. They’re very good at setting odds, but they’re not perfect. This is why you sometimes see huge upsets in sports. The bookies didn’t predict that the underdog would win, but it happened anyway.
This is good news for bettors because it means that there are opportunities to make money by betting on the underdog. Of course, this also means that you can lose money if you bet on the wrong team. That’s why it’s so important to do your research before placing any bets!
Basics of How Bookmakers Set Odds
Let’s take a closer look at how bookies set their odds. There are three main factors that they consider:
- The first is the probability of an event happening. This is pretty self-explanatory. If a team has a higher probability of winning, they will have lower odds.
- The second factor is the amount of money that has been bet on an event. This is because bookies want to balance their books. They don’t want too much money on one team and not enough on another. To do this, they use what’s called a vigorish, or vig for short. The vig is a fee that bookies charge for each bet. It’s essentially their commission. This is why you’ll sometimes see two teams with the same probability of winning but different odds. The bookie has adjusted the odds to account for the vig.
- The third and final factor is what’s called the margin. This is the difference between the true probability of an event happening and the odds that are being offered. For example, if a team has a 50% chance of winning but is being given odds of 100%, then there’s a 20% margin.
This is how bookies make their money. They offer odds that are not in line with the true probability of an event happening in order to make a profit.
How to Beat the Odds Set by Bookmakers: Useful Tips
Now that you understand how bookmakers set their odds, you can start to look for ways to beat them. Here are a few tips:
- Do your research: This is the most important thing you can do. You need to know as much as possible about the teams involved in a match. Look at their recent form, injuries, and any other factors that could affect the result.
- Bet with your head, not your heart: It’s easy to get caught up in the emotion of betting and bet on your favorite team regardless of the odds. However, if you want to win money, you need to bet objectively.
- Shop around for the best odds: Bookies don’t all offer the same odds on every event. This means that you can shop around and find the bookie that’s offering the best odds on the event you want to bet on.
- Don’t be afraid to take a risk: Sometimes, the best way to make money is to bet on an underdog. Of course, this also means that you’re more likely to lose money. But if you do your research and bet wisely, you can make a profit by betting on the underdog.
With these tips in mind, you’re ready to start beating the bookies! Remember, it’s not always about who is going to win. It’s about finding value in the odds that are being offered. Good luck!
Still, have questions? Please write us in the comments.